New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders Preview, Betting Odds, and Predictions – NFL 2025-26 Season Week 1
The New England Patriots are set to clash with the Las Vegas Raiders in a thrilling matchup to kick off the NFL 2025-26 season on September 7 at Gillette Stadium. Both teams enter this game eager to demonstrate their growth after tumultuous 2024 campaigns.
Team Outlooks
New England Patriots
The Patriots have made significant strides in the offseason, retooling both their offense and defense. Under head coach Mike Vrabel, the team is looking to make a statement right from the start. Quarterback Drake Maye, who performed steadily last season, is now bolstered by the addition of talented offensive weapons like Stefon Diggs and TreVeyon Henderson. The Patriots’ defensive unit, noted for its discipline and strategic prowess, aims to control the game tempo and limit explosive plays from opposing teams.
Las Vegas Raiders
On the other side, the Raiders are eager to exploit their dynamic playmakers. With veteran quarterback Geno Smith at the helm, the Raiders plan to capitalize on a revamped roster that includes exciting rookies like Ashton Jeanty. Under the leadership of head coach Pete Carroll, the Raiders aim to build on their recent roster improvements and establish a competitive edge in the AFC West. They will rely heavily on their offensive capabilities to outpace the Patriots’ defense.
Key Betting Odds
Recommended Bets
| Recommended Bets | FanDuel | BetMGM |
|---|---|---|
| Total Points (Over 32.5) | -620 | -525 |
| New England Patriots to win the game | -134 | -150 |
| Drake Maye to have under 31.5 pass attempts | -128 | -110 |
Analysis and Rationale
Total Points Over/Under 32.5
The prediction for the total points to exceed 32.5 is grounded in both teams’ improved offenses. The Patriots’ Drake Maye, now working with a more robust offensive line and capable receivers like Diggs, faces a Raiders defense that struggled in the previous season. Conversely, the Raiders, led by Geno Smith and Jeanty, could also challenge New England’s 22nd-ranked defense from last season. The combination of these dynamics makes a high-scoring game plausible.
Patriots to Win
The Patriots are favored to secure a victory due to their revamped offense, which should exploit the weakness in the Raiders’ defense. Defensive coordinator Mike Vrabel’s unit, featuring key players like Christian Barmore and Carlton Davis III, is designed to pressure opposing quarterbacks and stifle offensive attacks. While the Raiders boast impressive skill players, the Patriots have the advantage of home-field support and a balanced offensive scheme.
Drake Maye Pass Attempts
Maye is expected to attempt fewer than 31.5 passes, as the Patriots could shift toward a strong running game to control the tempo. The Raiders’ struggles against the run could encourage New England to lean heavily on Henderson, which would also help manage the clock effectively.
Matchup Details
As the NFL Week 1 showdown approaches, both teams bring unique strategies to the field. The Patriots are geared up under Mike Vrabel and offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, relying on QB Drake Maye alongside key additions like Diggs and Henderson. Their approach will focus on balanced offensive execution while maintaining a strong defense.
Raiders’ Strategy
The Raiders, managed by veteran Pete Carroll, will focus on the offensive prowess of Geno Smith and rookies like Jeanty. Their objective is to start the season strongly by exploiting any weaknesses in the Patriots’ defensive schemes. A balanced attack will be paramount for the Raiders, who are looking to erase memories of a disappointing previous season.
Best Bets for the New England Patriots
For those looking to place bets on the Patriots, there are several enticing options available:
- Drake Maye to score under 1.5 passing touchdowns: -150
- Drake Maye to have under 21.5 pass completions: -135
- Rhamondre Stevenson to have over 10.5 rush attempts: -130
- Drake Maye to complete his first attempt: -350
These player-specific bets reflect the shifting dynamics of both teams and hint at the strategies they will employ throughout the game.
Best Bets for the Las Vegas Raiders
Similarly, the Raiders have options that could be worth exploring, including:
- Geno Smith to have over 32.5 pass attempts: -125
- Geno Smith to have under 1.5 passing touchdowns: -165
- Geno Smith to complete his first attempt: -325
- Ashton Jeanty to attempt under 15.5 rush attempts: -120
These bets align with anticipated strategies and matchups, providing opportunities for savvy bettors to capitalize.
Week 1 Prediction
Predictions tilt in favor of the New England Patriots in their Week 1 match against the Las Vegas Raiders. The combination of Maye’s ability to utilize his new weapons and the Patriots’ formidable defense could give them the edge they need to outperform the Raiders.
Though Geno Smith and Jeanty prepare to challenge the Patriots’ defense, turnovers and home-field advantage are crucial factors likely to influence the game’s outcome.
Betting Odds and Spread
The betting odds favor the Patriots, cementing confidence in their ability to outgun the Raiders offensively while maintaining a defensive advantage.
This Week 1 matchup promises not just entertainment but an array of opportunities for fans and bettors alike.
FAQs
Why bet Over 32.5 total points for the game between Patriots and Raiders?
Both teams are expected to utilize their improved offenses, which should result in a high-scoring game and push the total points past 32.5.
Why are the Patriots favored to win?
New England’s defense along with their revamped offensive strategy and home-field advantage makes them the favorites against the Raiders.
What is the moneyline for the Patriots vs Raiders game?
The Patriots are listed as -150 favorites to win, while the Raiders sit at +125 as underdogs.